The results of the Hall of Fame balloting are a ways away, but it's
one of the funniest things to debate as a baseball fan. Sure, there are
always a few slam dunks and a few obvious duds. It's the middle ground
where the fun debates take place. I will do a post later on about the
players on the ballot I would vote for if I were allowed to vote, but
for this blog post I am going to focus on the eight players who appeared
in a Cardinals uniform. I will go over a few key stats and give you my
take on whether or not they deserve any consideration.
Players are listed in alphabetical order, not by their actual chances of making it into the Hall.
David Eckstein (2005-2007)
Pros: Eckstein won two World Series rings, one with the Angels
in 2002 and another with the Cardinals in 2006. This diminutive
shortstop played with a lot of effort and made up for some of the
physical gifts that he lacked. His biggest accomplishment was winning
the 2006 World Series MVP.
Cons: Eckstein only
played 10 years and had a career slash line of .280/.345/.355 with an
OPS+ of 87. His career WAR is 25.8, not close to Hall of Fame
standards. Surprisingly, his dWAR was in the positive in spite of the
fact that he had to shot put the ball to first base. JAWS rates him as
the 112th best shortstop of all-time sandwiched in between Ozzie Guillen
and Jeff Blauser
Chances of Hall of Fame: (0.01%)
Thank you for the 2006 World Series and that cool stretching routine
you did in front of the dugout before games. Enjoy your retirement.
Jim Edmonds (2000-2007)
Pros:
Edmonds helped the Cardinals win the 2006 World Series and the 2004
National League Championship. He was the premier defensive
centerfielder in the National League for almost a decade. Overall,
Jimmy Ballgame won 8 Gold Gloves manning center for the Cardinals. His
career slash line of .284/.376/.527 is fairly impressive when added to
his 393 home runs and 437 doubles. His career 132 OPS+ and 60.3 WAR
show that Edmonds had a very good career. JAWS rates him as the 14th
best center fielder of all-time. He is really hurt by the fact that he
was very good during his peak years.
Cons: The
biggest knock against Edmonds is his longevity in the game. If he had
just a few more years at, or close to, his peak production numbers I
think he is a slam dunk Hall of Famer. He rates on the outer edge of
the Hall of Fame center fielders in the JAWS rankings and is also below
the mark in all of the Hall of Fame Statisical measures such as Grey
Ink, Hall of Fame Monitor, and Hall of Fame Standards.
Chances of Hall of Fame:
(50%) It should be much higher than that number, but I do not think
that certain factions of Hall of Fame voters will ever get past the fact
that Edmonds does not have a single Hall of Fame 'benchmark" and some
of his counting numbers, like he's under 2000 career hits, and I am not
sure he will ever pass. If I had a vote I would put him in, but I think
Edmonds sits on the ballot for awhile.
Troy Glaus (2008-2009)
Pros: Glaus had some really nice years while he was with the
Angels. His best moment was easily the 2002 World Series where he was
named the Series MVP and helped finish off a huge rally for the Halos in
Game 6. His lone full season in St. Louis was actually pretty decent
with 27 home runs, 99 RBIS, 33 doubles, and a slash line of
.270/.372/.483.
Cons: There
is not much bad to say about Glaus, but he was just simply a nice
player during his 13 year career. He was a decent third baseman and had
some pop. Nothing wrong with a third baseman that can hit 30 home runs
and give you a slugging percentage around .500. Thirteen years of
above average is still not good enough for the Hall. Sorry Troy.
Chances of the Hall:
(5%) There are innovators in the Hall of Fame. I am pretty sure that
Troy Glaus was the first player to ever get equestrian fees for his
spouse covered in their baseball contract. If that's not Hall worthy
than Troy is likely going to be off the ballot after this vote.
Mark Grudzielanek (2005)
Pros: One of my Friday Five posts needs to rank the players from
the Cardinals revolving door era at second base. Mark Grudzielanek had a
name that Harry Carey could not pronounce, he once led the National
League in doubles with 54 in 1997, and he played for the Cardinals for
one summer. He had a long name....I got nothing.
Cons: His
career OPS+ is 90 and his career WAR is 26.3. JAWS ranks him as the
76th best second baseman of all-time slightly ahead of my favorite
Pirates second baseman Johnny Ray. He's just behind Steve Sax and Bret
Boone.
Chances of the Hall: (0%) Next.
Mark McGwire (1997-2001)
Pros: Home Runs and Home Run Records.
Cons: Steroids with a side of strikeouts.
Chances of the Hall: (Sigh)
Lee Smith (1990-1993)
Pros:
Lee Smith record 478 career saves. Jim Murray of the Los Angeles Times
was originally one of the biggest proponents of Smith being in Hall
called him the best one inning pitcher in the history of the game. He
had several great seasons as a closer. Most notably his 193 season with
the Cubs when he posted an ERA+ of 229 and a WAR of 4.8, and his 1990
season when he split time between the Cardinals and Red Sox. There were
other good years in there where he recorded a lot of saves, but that
was his real dominate statistic. He did strikeout almost a batter per
inning during his career.
Cons: So much to put
here, but I am going to be nice. One of my biggest problems with Lee
Smith was the latter years of his career. I hate to rely on anecdotal
observations on a post dealing with Hall of Fame credentials, but I am
going to good ahead and do it. I was a sixteen year old high school kid
in 1993. It was lean times to be a Cardinals fan. I used to go to
games with my dad every Sunday. It didn't matter if the Cardinals got
the lead in the game, you know Lee Smith was going to find a way to blow
it. The most painful I recall was a game against the Dodgers where
Rene Arocha, imagine his name dropped in a post about the Hall of Fame,
pitched a great game. Smith came in walked a few people, threw a few
wild pitches, and the Cardinals lost. It was actually pretty common at
the end of his career. JAWS rates him as the 14th best relief pitcher
of all-time. He's behind Greg Swindell and Kerry Wood.
Chances of Hall of Fame: (No) Let me fix that since this is a nice post. (Please, not Lee Smith)
Larry Walker (2004-2005)
Pros:
There are many things to like about Larry Walker's candidacy for the
Hall of Fame. His career slash line of .313/.400/.565, an OPS+ of 141,
and a career WAR of 72.6 merit consideration. JAWS has him rated as the
10th best right fielder of all-time and two of the Hall of Fame
Statisitics, the Monitor and Standards both score him above their likely
to average Hall of Famer. Black and Grey Ink have him just short.
Comparing him to some of his right field peers, he has a WAR and an
OPS+ in the neighborhood of Al Kaline and Reggie Jackson. He's slightly
ahead of those two in OPS+, but behind them slightly in WAR. He ranks
higher than Dave Winfield, Tony Gwynn, and Ichiro in both statistics.
Walker also won a National League MVP in 1997 along with seven Gold
Gloves, and three Silver Sluggers.
Cons: Some
of the arguments against Larry Walker are similar to Jim Edmonds. He
played 17 years, but had several seasons where he missed half of the
year. When you compare his counting numbers against his right field
peers he doesn't have a benchmark number to grab a certain group of Hall
voters. There are not 500 home runs or 3000 hits. He played in almost
a 1000 games less than both Jackson and Kaline who both reached one of
the old-school "automatic" numbers. Then there is Coors Field. His
home away slash line at home for his career is .348/.431/.637 versus a
road slash line of .278/.370/.495. That's a pretty big gap.
Chances of Hall of Fame: (50%)
I would put Larry Walker into the Hall of Fame, but I am doubtful that
certain voters will go for a player without a benchmark number who
played a large number of games in Coors Field. He definitely ranks
favorably amongst Hall of Fame right fielders.
Randy Winn (2010)
Pros: He was once traded for Lou Pinella and he was also on the Durham Bulls for awhile.
Cons: Why was Randy Winn on the Cardinals again?
Chances of the Hall: (0.00001%) He did hit for the cycle once.